Hes fast this weekend, has been fast at similar tracks, and starts close enough to the front to reduce his usage levels. But that happens sometimes at superspeedways; you cant really control whether your driver will get lucky or not. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbooks lines around the Toledo vs. Central Michigan odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.. Toledo covered as Here are the drivers and latest NASCAR odds included in Group D at Caesars: Theres no denying that Jones should be the favorite of the group, but his -105 odds are steep. Enjoy the FREE content that this site offers each week? Kyle Busch heads into this week as the favorite (+600) after a convincing victory in the Pala Casino 400 last weekend. Tyler Reddick 5. The best way to utilize the odds is to look at guys who are anywhere from 5/1 to 10/1 and build your team around these drivers. Perhaps a homecoming could do wonders for Keselowski as the Detroit-area native prepares for the 2022 FireKeepers Casino 400 at Michigan International Speedway. Sign Up Now, *Eligible USA locations only. EyesonXfinity:Has John Hunter Nemecheks Trophy Hunting Paid Off? For a slightly lesser cost, you could fill you teams spot with Newmans teammate and boss, Tony Stewart. It was his best finish at this track, better than what he did with Joe Gibbs Racing. By Pearce Dietrich Aug 3, 2022, 12:31pm PDT Also, I will be hosting a free NASCAR DraftKings league that will run each week for the Cup Series only. Like Blaney, his 30th place starting position is not representative of his true speed. Michigan State is 15-14-0 ATS this season. Anybody who has followed his picks has seen huge returns. The only other 2-mile track that used to be on the schedule is Auto Club Speedway. For example, if Christopher Bell started third and won, he would gain two points in addition to his finishing position points, totaling 47 fantasy points. 11:01 am ET, check out the optimal NASCAR at Michigan DFS strategy and lineup advice from SportsLine's Mike McClure, sharing his picks and NASCAR DFS driver pool and top picks here, You can see who it is, and every other pick, right here, Visit SportsLine now to see DFS millionaire Mike McClure's complete driver pool for DraftKings and FanDuel, NASCAR changes package for short tracks, road courses, 2023 Pennzoil 400 predictions, odds, sims, picks, Crash Course: Kyle Busch starts his second act, NASCAR Power Rankings: Kyle Busch flies to first, Top NASCAR experts reveal 2023 Pala Casino 400 picks, NASCAR DFS: FireKeepers Casino 400 picks for Michigan, Rowdy flies to the top of the charts at Fontana, NASCAR changes rules for short tracks, road courses, Chastain signs long-term deal to remain Trackhouse, Alex Bowman wins Daytona 500 pole for the third time, Alex Bowman signs with Hendrick through 2026, Durant Era in Phoenix has the air of inevitability. The green flag drops at 3 p.m. August 6, 2022 Fantasy Live Picks. Cole Custer 6. BONUS TOURNAMENT PLAY: Bubba Wallace ($6,400) If youre looking to get off the low-dollar chalk, or want to save some cap from one of the mid-$7,000 drivers, Bubba Wallace is a tournament play to consider. A lot has changed since then, so take those statistics with a grain of salt, but the data from the last two years at these two tracks is very relevant. Speedweeks provided a shockingly profitable start to the NASCAR season for me. Larson also had the fourth-best average speed across all the intermediate tracks last year, according to ifantasyrace.com. Martin Truex, Jr. ($9300): Truex is exceptional at high tire-wear tracks, ranking inside the top three in most metrics last year.Over each drivers last eight incident-free races at high-speed, high-wear tracks, Truex comes in second in driver rating behind only Kyle Larson. Kyle Busch rode into the Winner's Circle last weekend, and sportsbooks are tabbing him as the pre-race favorite to do so again at this week's Pennzoil 400 at Las Vegas Motor Speedway. The Keselowski from previous years would have been a ridiculous value in Michigan starting from the 33rd slot. One of the races is on a road course and the other is at Daytona. Kyle Busch is looking for back-to-back wins early in this NASCAR campaign, and sportsbooks like him to do so, Live NASCAR odds show Kyle Larson as the race favorite at +650, followed by Chase Elliott (+700), Denny Hamlin (+800), Kyle Busch (+950) and Ryan Blaney (+1000). He also ranked 11th-fastest in that category in the Coca-Cola 600 at Charlotte. 16 Kaulig Racing driver has a pair of eighth-place finishes while running for JTG, in 2014 and 2016. 0 of 7. Before we jump into my picks, dont forget all my NASCAR projections can be found in the NASCAR Models on FantasyLabs, complete with floor, ceiling, median, and ownership projections. Now, he's turned his attention to Sunday's 2022 NASCAR at Michigan race and locked in his NASCAR DFS picks. Ryan Blaney ($9300):Blaney is in a great cash-game spot here, priced down from the top tier at only $9300. Before scouring the 2022 FireKeepers Casino 400 starting lineup and making any 2022 NASCAR Michigan predictions, be sure to see the latest NASCAR at Michigan picks from SportsLine's proven projection model. Now hes piloting a Toyota at 23XI Racing, and I have no doubt he can show up with speed once again on Sunday. Michigan is usually a pretty green race, so well likely see about 160 green flag laps, which would equal 72 possible DraftKings FPTS for fastest laps. Fantasy Golf Picks for Arnold Palmer Invitational, Fantasy Live / Driver Group Game Questions. Christopher Bell, Kyle Busch, Joey Logano, and Austin Cindric round out the top 5. Truckin Thursdays: Ironman Matt Crafton Ready To Shake Off the Rust. Trailing Busch is 2021 Cup Series champ Kyle Larson, who finished runner-up in this race last year, but has had a lackluster start to 2023, with finishes of 18th and 29th to kick off the campaign. Also, be sure to check out the Algorithm Predicted Finishing Order for this race by clicking here! As long as he doesnt wreck, Austin Dillon is a very strong DraftKings option this weekend at Michigan. The Toledo Rockets (23-6, 14-2 MAC) battle the Central Michigan Chippewas (10-19, 5-11) Tuesday. Busch should do better; after all, Tyler Reddick had great speed in this car in 2022 (more on him later). In 2020 #2, Busch started 16th, but he had no trouble advancing in the running order en route to his 4th place finish. The email address is not publicly visible or shared. At Auto Club, the other big 2.0-mile oval visited earlier this year, Reddick had the field covered until he had a flat tire and had Byron crash into him. Im instead opting for Almirolas +500 odds, and heres why. Thats why Im willing to go against my model here and bump them up. Chastain had finishes of second and third at Vegas last year, while Logano has finishes of second and 10th so far in defense of his Cup Series championship. If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so. Larson had a top 10 average speed in four of last years five events at high-tire wear tracks, including at Homestead en route to the win. Michigan Track History Tyler Reddick has finished worse in each new Michigan race of his, and I think that trend will end. Eat the chalk with Pasta this weekend, especially in cash games. Fantasy NASCAR Tips and Picks for Michigan. Tip-off is scheduled for noon ET (ESPN). Im just going to chalk up his result to him not closing well. Christopher Bell 4. 5 Hendrick Motorsports driver had some good green flag speed last year at the high tire wear tracks as well as Michigan International Speedway, the other 2-mile course on the circuit. degree in Liberal Studies at California State University Bakersfield in 2010. FantraxHQ - The Home of Fantasy Sports Analysis, ROS Top 200 Fantasy Hockey Rankings for 2022-23. You have the most likely dominator in Larson and then the all three major chalk high finish and place differential plays in Bell/A. All other trademarks are the property of their respective owners. Before locking in any NASCAR DFS picks for the 2023 Pala Casino 400, be sure to check out the optimal NASCAR at Fontana DFS strategy and advice from SportsLine's Mike McClure. Larson is a three-time winner at Michigan and Hendrick Motorsports has had the strongest cars all season. Now, RCR isnt as strong as the other teams, but it does have some wins in recent years. Reddick also had a top five average speed in this same category at the first Darlington race, coming home in second place. Before I share this weeks picks for Auto Club, heres a look at how last weeks drivers did on DraftKings: A lot of these drivers were caught up in late crashes and werent able to get a good finish. There are 200 laps scheduled for the FireKeepers Casino 400 on Sunday, which means were looking at 50 DraftKings FPTS up for grabs for laps led. Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality. This gives a better idea of how quick a driver and car really are and the top two drivers, Clint Bowyer and Mark Martin, both found there way into the top 10 on race day. He is also one of the cheaper drivers with a cost of only 16.4, and adding Vickers allows for a little more room to spend on your third and fourth driver. Coleman Hawkins was the top player for Illinois finishing with 14 points and 11 rebounds. Tune in Sunday at 3 p.m. No wins yet. The NASCAR Cup Series will travel to the Irish Hills of Michigan to compete at Michigan International Speedway. He has never finished worse then 10th and only finished out of the top three once, with two of the those races being wins for the No. Hes ended up 9th or better in five of his last nine Michigan starts and has ended up inside the top 10 in ten of the last twelve Stages here. When teams are in practice, they are looking for the best set up for the car in race trim. Kyle Busch is looking for back-to-back wins early in this NASCAR campaign, and sportsbooks like him to do so, putting him atop the Pennzoil 400 odds board ahead of race day. Fantasy Live has a new Bonus Picks section this year. Portions of this content are hidden. Despite sitting in 11th place in NASCAR standings, Reddick's Fantasy production indicates he's an elite driver. Martin Truex, Jr. ($9300): Truex is exceptional at high tire-wear tracks, ranking inside the top three in most metrics last year.Over each drivers last eight incident-free races at high-speed, high-wear tracks, Truex comes in second in driver rating behind only Kyle Larson. Justin Carter's DraftKings DFS lineup picks for the NASCAR Xfinity Series Production Alliance Group 300 at Auto Club Speedway. Comments from first time commenters are automatically held for moderation by Frontstretch staff. Tyler Reddick In 2022, Stenhouse had the seventh-quickest green-flag speed and earned a top 10 by races end. All rights reserved. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbooks lines around the Michigan State vs. Iowa game odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.. No team has won more Cup Series races at Michigan than RFK's six victories. 11 car Sunday. McClure has won almost $2 million in his career as a daily Fantasy pro, and his NASCAR DFS driver pool, projections and advice can help you In 2018, Larson had dud results of 17th and 28th. This is kind of like looking at the qualifying speeds, but I find that the practice speeds are a more valuable tool. First up is data from the 550hp package this year. Pennzoil 400: Las Vegas Picks, Odds & Race Preview. The top 10 in drivers standings is a great place to start looking for drivers for this weeks race. Read his daily fantasy NASCAR advice and Xfinity sleepers. All of the driver values come from the league run by ESPN. August 6, 2022 DFS Racing Picks. Last year, Busch finished 9th in Stage #1, won Stage #2, had the 4th best Total Speed Ranking, led 13 laps and then finished 7th when the checkered flag waved. The rest of the drivers are all in play this week. Last year, NASCAR bettors had Michigan DraftKings NASCAR Picks, Projections, & Strategy Breakdown, go here and subscribe to my YouTube channel, Homestead DraftKings NASCAR Fantasy Picks & Driver Projections (Dixie Vodka 400), Kansas 2 DraftKings NASCAR Fantasy Picks & Driver Projections (Hollywood Casino 400), Darlington 2 DraftKings NASCAR Fantasy Picks & Driver Projections (Cook Out Southern 500), Daytona 2 DraftKings NASCAR Fantasy Picks, Projections, & Strategy Breakdown (Coke Zero Sugar 400), Watkins Glen DraftKings NASCAR Fantasy Picks & Driver Projections (Go Bowling At The Glen), Richmond 2 DraftKings NASCAR Fantasy Picks & Driver Projections (Federated Auto Parts 400), Sharps Moving NASCAR Betting Lines For Auto Club Speedway Race. Fantasy sports are one of the most popular activities among sports fans, and NASCAR has it own fun Busch has been one of the most consistent drivers at Michigan. Fantasy NASCAR FireKeepers Casino 400 at Michigan: NASCAR DFS Picks By Kelly Kirby On Aug 7, 2022 The gentlemen will start their engines at Michigan International Speedway today, and the lineup is set, with Bubba Wallace sitting in pole : The Black Cat Auto Club Mystery Thats NASCARs Latest Animal Encounter, Reel Racing: The Evolution of Motorsports Films Across Disciplines, NASCAR Announces New Rules Package for Short Tracks, Road Courses, Dropping the Hammer: NASCARs Days of Future Past. MARTIN TRUEX JR. (3): Truex Jr. is nearly in a must win situation. Truex would be the last driver in the playoffs if the playoffs started this week. Odds courtesy of DraftKings as of February 28, 2023. Included in these tables are the following statistics: Its not uncommon for Michigan to be a one dominator race. 2-Headed Monster: Is Kyle Busch Still Viewed as NASCARs Villain? Unfortunately, that was one of Stenhouses few bright spots of the season. It only takes one poor finish to ruin your week in fantasy NASCAR, and by steering clear of Ryan Newman, this should help your chances of avoiding a poor finish. Kyle Busch is the 11-2 favorite in the NASCAR at Michigan odds followed by Kyle Larson (6-1) and Chase Elliott (13-2). While he won twice at road courses last year, he also won at Texas Motor Speedway, surviving the flat-tire plagued race. Absolutely, but not likely. The Cup Series has spent the summer competing on road courses, the Superspeedway at Atlanta and flat tracks. Hamlin runs up front and scores very well in Fantasy Live one week and then he looks like complete garbage the next week. The gentlemen will start their engines at Michigan International Speedway today, and the lineup is set, with Bubba Wallace sitting in pole position for the first time in his career. In spring 2019, Larson finished 14th, but I thought he was better than his result. Hamlin should be a good pick at Michigan. This is a bit of a bittersweet week for me, as Im sure it is for everyone heading to Fontana, Calif. Check out our FanDuel Michigan Playability Fantasy Value Chart. Kyle Busch is the 11-2 favorite in the 2022 NASCAR at Michigan odds from Caesars Sportsbook. Elliott is a legitimate top 5 threat on Sunday and if he can just pick up a handful of dominator points along the way, hes going to be worth taking the risk on in DraftKings at just $9,200 salary. Rest of Jordans Card Kyle Busch Top 5 Finish (+115) See notes above on Kyle Busch and head on over to BetRivers to grab this at +115 odds. Jones followed up that speed with a third-place finish after leading 18 laps. August 6, 2022 DFS Racing Picks. The DraftKings NASCAR Cup Series AutoTrader EchoPark Automotive 500 at Texas slate locks at 3:30 p.m. Its actually baffling how Kyle Busch was able to get up to a 14th place at Auto Club last year. You can click the headers below to sort the chart by that attribute. NASCAR is running the 550hp package this weekend. Pictured: NASCAR Cup Series driver Aric Almirola. Michigan Fantasy Spin At Michigan, look for Kyle Busch to be a top five contender wholl be a factor to win. Reddick will once again be up against the wall scoring Stage Points. Buyer beware, though, that even though a driver is in the top 10 in points doesnt alwaysguaranteesuccess at certain tracks.
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DraftKings Values
, At some point, we have to agree that Brad Keselowski ceases to be valuable when he runs so poorly on a week-in and week-out basis. How to make 2022 NASCAR at Michigan picks The model is also targeting two other drivers with 2022 NASCAR at Michigan odds of 12-1 or longer to make a serious run at the checkered flag. The projected finishes are averaged from six different ranking systems. And although he's yet to have a standout performance at Michigan, you could have said the same about Reddick at Road America and The Brickyard, and he went out and won both of those races. However, his team Penske teammates showed more speed, qualifying fourth and fifth. Jones also won at Darlington last fall after Busch and Truex had engine trouble. If this race at Michigan on Sunday gets crazy at the end, Bubba Wallace could sneak into the optimal lineup with a surprise finish. 1 Trackhouse Racing Team Chevrolet didnt finish well in the first Darlington race, but he placed eighth in the Southern 500 and second at Homestead. Tyler Reddick ($9,100)Career at Auto Club: 2 starts, 0 wins, 0 top fives, 0 top 10sAverage finish at Auto Club: 17.5. Since my brain works more in tournament mode, though, I actually like the 2nd-best lineup (according to my projections) a little more, and that one is: Kyle Larson, Chase Elliott, Christopher Bell, Austin Dillon, Tyler Reddick, and Anthony Alfredo. We need to save one allocation with the No. Over the last five MIS races, Busch has a 5.4 average finish and hes 5 for 5 at finishing between 4th to 7th. With an AFP this poor and a cost of 23.1, Newman would just a poor place to invest almost one-fourth of your budget. Hes a three-time winner and currently he has back-to-back 3rd place finishes. Christopher Bell 4. When you make your DraftKings rosters this week, try to target drivers that are good at high-tire wear racetracks, like Darlington Raceway and Homestead-Miami Speedway. Coleman Hawkins was the top player for Illinois finishing with 14 points and 11 rebounds. That actually wasnt a huge setback for Reddick, but after he spun on lap 194 while running in 11th and no caution came out you could stick a fork in him. He ranks seventh in both laps led (316) and fastest laps (207) despite a slow start to the season. Chase Elliott qualifying at 13th also seems like a gift with his prominent run of late and success at superspeedways. The 2022 NASCAR at Michigan green flag drops at 3 p.m. Ty Dillon ($6,600) starts all the way back in in 33rd position at Michigan and finished in the 20th spot there in June. I like his low salary to help you fit some of the top-tier drivers in your roster. Perhaps most surprisingly, Cole Custer ($6200)hung right with his teammates in practice times, making him a very sneaky tournament play. NASCAR Mailbox: Did We Get Backstage Passes to Kyle Larson Show at Auto Club? This site .css-110721q{color:#0079F0;}contains commercial content. He finished 10th, 3rd, 3rd, 4th and 3rd in his last five races at the track. Michigan Fantasy Rankings 1) Kyle Larson (Starting 1st) Michigan Bottom Line At Michigan, the road to victory lane will go thru Kyle Larson. I got three data tables ready to analyze this weekend for Sundays FireKeepers Casino 400 at Michigan. Of all the drivers currently in the top 10 in points, the driver to avoid at Michigan is Ryan Newman. Illinois is averaging 74.2 points while their defense is giving up 65.6 points While my model pegs him at about 20% usage, I believe the model is overstating that by several percentage points. Kyle Larson 2. Reddick had the second-best average speed during the green-flag runs at Fontana, but Erik Jones was the fastest. Theres no better time than now to give it a try!
. Anthony Alfredo ($5,800) Nobody really likes this but DraftKings is really not giving us much of a choice when it comes to lineup builds this weekend; Anthony Alfredo is the no-brainer chalk play in this price range. For his career, he's led for 282 laps at Michigan International Speedway, which is the third-most among drivers in the 2022 FireKeepers Casino starting grid. However, his team Penske teammates showed more speed, qualifying fourth and fifth. But this is the NextGen car, which he and his team have shown no ability to improve or master this late into the year. Alex Bowman ($8200):Bowman is an even better cash-game play than Blaney. Ill note, Larson did have a hiccup along the way. I will use another allocation with the No. In the race he finished 3rd in Stage #1, 3rd in Stage #2, had a 5.4 average running position, was the fastest driver late in a run and had the 2nd best Total Speed Ranking. Busch himself has four wins and the best average finish among active drivers (besides Jimmie Johnson, whos not in this race). She earned her B.A. 2022 TOP 200 Fantasy Football Rankings, TOP 200 PPR Cheatsheets TOP 200 PPR Draft / Draft Rankings We are working hard to bring you all the info you'll need for your fantasy NASCAR league. Keep in mind that theres rain expected most of Saturday, so you might not get to see how drivers will perform in their limited practice time. ET on Sunday, and Keselowski could be an appealing NASCAR DFS pick despite this season's struggles. Chris Buescher: +500. Kyle Larson is the 3-1 favorite in the latest 2021 FireKeepers Casino 400 On a good day, Alfredo will post a top 25. Is it possible? With one Michigan victory already under his belt in 2011, Busch is still experiencing only successes at the D-shaped oval track. With the Toyota speed, its somewhat capped. ET . He's only sharing his picks and NASCAR DFS driver pool and top picks here. Reddick has two wins this year and he will have a good chance to add a third to his playoff resume Sunday. Of those, I view Kansas to be the single most similar track and at that venue in addition to finishing 3rd, Busch had the best Total Speed Ranking. Anybody who has followed his picks has seen huge returns. Kyle Busch He wont be totally low-owned, but my model gives him a solid 21% chance to end up in the optimal lineup. You can also look at drivers historical stats at Auto Club. If Larson carries the momentum over from last year, he should be fast right off the bat this weekend. Daniel Suarez 6. The NASCAR Cup Series will make a trip to Michigan International Speedway Sunday. Kevin Harvick ($8400) and Aric Almirola ($6800)put up solid practice times, with little tire falloff over the long run. The second race of the NASCAR Cup Series season is the start of the West Coast swing in not-so-sunny California. ET on FOX. By default it is sorted by average projected FPTS. Stay tuned for full race analysis and best bets coming later this week! And, as always, good luck! Michigan International Speedway is the venue for the 23rd race of the NASCAR Cup Series season (3:00 p.m. At Michigan, it is incredibly difficult to pass the leader, so its hard to imagine Larson not dominating at least the first half of the FireKeepers Casino 400 on Sunday afternoon. ET (ESPN+). Before setting your NASCAR DFS strategy for the 2022 FireKeepers Casino 400 on sites like DraftKings and FanDuel, be sure tocheck out the optimal NASCAR at Michigan DFS strategy and lineup advice from SportsLine's Mike McClure. Visit SportsLine now to see DFS millionaire Mike McClure's complete driver pool for DraftKings and FanDuel, and cash in big on NASCAR DFS. In that contest, the top score was 291.4 and won $300 with race winner Tyler Reddick, Cindric, Michael McDowell, Bubba Wallace, Harrison Burton, and Gilliland. As far as DraftKings scoring, the rules are the same as last season: 0.45 points for each fastest lap and 0.25 for each lap led. All photos and statistics are used with permission from NASCAR Media Group. WebSportsLine's Mike McClure, a DFS pro with almost $2 million in winnings, gives his top NASCAR daily Fantasy picks Aric Almirola: +500. Before making any 2022 FireKeepers Casino 400 picks, you NEED to see what SportsLine's Micah Roberts has to say. If that happens, youre looking to fill out the rest of your lineup mainly with place differential plays, and maybe one or two high finishing plays. In addition, the driver of the No. 19 team knows they need a win this week. This #12 Ford has finished 6th or better in six of the eight 550hp package races this season and has the 5th-most fastest laps here at Michigan over the last two years. 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